Indian markets on Thursday are expected to start positively supported by gains in global markets. GIFT Nifty trades at 24,725, up 140 points from its previous Nifty futures close which shows a gap-up opening.
Despite the expected higher open investors stay cautious about market trends amidst yesterday's sharp fall.
Sensex dropped 1,122.66 points or 1.40% to close at 79,116.19 on Wednesday while Nifty 50 declined 385.20 points or 1.55% to settle at 24,480.50.
Wider markets also weakened with the Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 indices falling around 2.1% each.
Sensex Outlook
Technically Sensex is currently hovering near an important support level. The index tested the 78,500 level during the previous session before witnessing a partial intraday recovery.
Analysts view 78,500 as a crucial short-term support zone. Holding above this level could allow index to attempt a rebound toward 79,500 while a stronger breakout may open the path toward the 80,000-80,500 range.
However if index slips below 78,500, selling pressure may increase. This might push the index toward 78,000 or even 77,800 in the near term.
Nifty 50 Outlook
Nifty 50 formed a green candle with both upper and lower shadows on the daily chart. This shows volatility with attempts by buyers to absorb selling pressure.
Key support for Nifty is at 24,300 and 24,100, a zone that coincides with earlier swing lows and technical gaps formed. Analysts believe this region could act as a base for a short-term rebound.
On the upside 24,600 is still the immediate resistance level. A decisive breakout above this level may lead to a move toward 24,900-25,000. It may become the next key supply zone.
Bank Nifty Outlook
Bank Nifty index closed at 58,755 with 1,084 points or 1.81% decline. It reflects weakness in banking stocks. The index amid sharp pressure shows it is undergoing a corrective phase.
The immediate support level exists at 58,200-58,100 while a break below this range will lead to a drop toward 57,700 or even 57,300.
On the upside resistance is expected near 59,200-59,300.
Volatility and Global Factors
Market volatility has increased with India VIX rising 23.4% and this indicates heightened uncertainty.
Additionally the Indian rupee's weakening above Rs. 92 per US dollar has added concerns about capital flows and inflationary pressures.
Going ahead, investors will keep a close eye on geopolitical developments in West Asia, crude oil prices and currency movements which could influence short-term market direction.