FC Barcelona are on the brink of retaining their La Liga crown in the 2025-26 season. As of April 11, 2026, Hansi Flick's side sit top of the table with 76 points from 30 matches (25 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, +51 goal difference).
Real Madrid are second on 70 points from 31 games (+36 GD), giving Barcelona a six-point lead and a game in hand.10
With eight La Liga fixtures remaining for Barcelona and seven for Real Madrid, the title race is entering its decisive phase. But exactly how many wins does Barcelona need to mathematically secure the 2025-26 La Liga title?
Current Standings Snapshot (as of April 11, 2026)
- Barcelona: 76 pts (30 played)
- Real Madrid: 70 pts (31 played)
- Gap: Barcelona lead by 6 points with one game in hand
Maximum possible points for Real Madrid: 70 + 21 (7 wins) = 91 points.
How Many Wins Does Barcelona Need to Win La Liga 2025-26?
Mathematically, Barcelona can secure the title with far fewer than 8 wins, depending on Real Madrid's results.
Here's the realistic breakdown:
- Best-case scenario (clinching as early as possible): If Barcelona win their next 4-5 matches and Real Madrid drop points in even 1-2 of theirs, the title could be wrapped up by early May - possibly even before or during the upcoming Clásico on May 10.
- Safe number of wins: Most analysts suggest Barcelona need roughly 5-6 more wins (15-18 points) from their remaining 8 games to make the title mathematically certain, assuming they maintain their current form. Even with a couple of draws, the gap is likely too big for Madrid to close.
- Worst-case scenario (maximum caution): If Barcelona win just 4 of their remaining 8 and draw the rest (16 points), they would reach 92 points. Real Madrid would need to win almost all their games to challenge - an unlikely feat given the current form.
In short, Barcelona are heavy favourites and could need as few as 4-6 wins to lift the trophy, depending on how Madrid perform.
Barcelona's Remaining La Liga Fixtures (April-May 2026)
Barcelona have a favourable run with several home games:
- April 11: Barcelona vs Espanyol (home derby)
- April 22: Barcelona vs Celta Vigo (home)
- April 25: Getafe vs Barcelona (away)
- May fixtures include: Osasuna (A), and the big Clásico vs Real Madrid (likely early-mid May at Camp Nou)
The derby against Espanyol and home games against Celta Vigo give Barça excellent chances to pick up maximum points early.
Can Real Madrid Still Catch Barcelona?
Theoretically, yes - if Madrid win all their remaining games and Barcelona suffer a major collapse (multiple losses). But with a 6-7 point gap and Barcelona's strong home record, this is highly improbable. History shows that leads of this size at this stage of the season rarely disappear.