While People's Pulse forecasts a comfortable victory for the TMC+, surveys like P-Marq, Matrize, and Poll Diary suggest the BJP+ could either reach or come close to the majority mark. The wide variation highlights an intensely competitive contest in the state.

The final outcome will only be clear once official counting is completed.

People's Pulse: TMC+ (177-187) | BJP+ (95-110) | OTH (1-4)

Matrize: BJP+ (146-161) | TMC+ (125-140) | OTH (6-10)

P-Marq: BJP+ (150-175) | TMC+ (118-138) | OTH (2-6)

Poll Diary: BJP+ (142-171) | TMC+ (99-127) | OTH (5-9)

A P-MARQ exit poll for the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election 2026 has projected a strong showing for the Bharatiya Janata Party, putting it ahead of the ruling All India Trinamool Congress in the 294-member Assembly.

According to the survey, the BJP is expected to secure between 150 and 175 seats, crossing the majority mark comfortably. The TMC, led by Mamata Banerjee, is projected to win 118 to 138 seats, indicating a significant drop compared to its previous performance. Other parties and independents are likely to bag 2 to 6 seats.

The projections suggest a direct and intense contest between the BJP and the TMC, with anti-incumbency, governance issues, and polarization emerging as key factors influencing voter behavior. The BJP's aggressive campaign and organizational push appear to have translated into gains across several regions, according to the poll.

People's Pulse Predicts Big Lead for TMC

An exit poll conducted by People's Pulse projects a strong lead for the Trinamool Congress (TMC) in the West Bengal Assembly elections, estimating the party to win between 177 and 187 seats.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is projected to secure between 95 and 110 seats, according to the survey.

TMC- 177-187

BJP- 95-110

West Bengal Exit Poll 2026: Matrize Survey Shows BJP Near Majority in Tight Contest

Matrize

147 - Halfway Mark

TMC+: 125-140

BJP: 146-161

CONG: 0

LEFT: 0

OTH: 6-10

A Matriz exit poll for the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election 2026 points to a closely fought election, with the Bharatiya Janata Party emerging as the frontrunner and hovering around the majority mark in the 294-member Assembly.

According to the Matrize projections, the BJP is likely to win 146 to 161 seats, putting it close to or just above the halfway mark of 147. The ruling All India Trinamool Congress (TMC+) is projected to secure 125 to 140 seats, indicating a strong challenge but falling short of a clear majority.

The Indian National Congress and Left parties are expected to register minimal impact, with projections showing no seats, while other parties and independents may win 6 to 10 seats.