Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2026: Exit poll projections for the high-stakes Tamil Nadu Assembly elections have been released. Exit poll results for the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections from most of the agencies indicate a clear advantage for the ruling Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK)-led alliance, indicating that Chief Minister M.K. Stalin is likely to secure a second consecutive term in office.
The results came out after the polling restrictions were lifted. Under Election Commission guidelines, exit polls cannot be published until 30 minutes after polling ends in the final phase of elections. For the current cycle, projections were published after 6.30 pm today.
Polling was held across Tamil Nadu on April 23 for all 234 Assembly seats, with over 4,000 candidates in the fray. The state recorded a voter turnout of 84.6 per cent, the highest since the 1952 elections. The total electorate stood at around 5.73 crore, including over 2.93 crore women and 2.83 crore men. Third-gender voters accounted for about 7,728.
Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2026: What pollsters predicted - Full LIST
Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026: What are the predictions for Matrize Exit Poll?
Matrize Exit Poll: The DMK-led alliance is projected to win 122-132 seats in Tamil Nadu, while the AIADMK+ is expected to secure 87-100 seats. Actor-turned-politician Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) is estimated to win 10-12 seats, while the remaining other parties might settle at 0-6 seats.
- DMK+ - 122-132 seats
- AIADMK+ - 87-100 seats
- TVK - 10-12 seats
- Others- 0-6 seats
Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026: DMK+ set for comfortable lead, TVK to make significant in debut polls, indicates People Pulse exit polls
Exit polls by Peoples Pulse indicates a clear advantage for the ruling DMK+ in Tamil Nadu, projecting the alliance to secure 125-145 seats, while AIADMK+ is seen trailing with 65-80 seats. Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam is projected to make a notable debut with 18-24 seats, potentially emerging as a key player in the state's political landscape.
- DMK+ - 125-145 seats
- AIADMK+ - 65-80 seats
- TVK - 18-24 seats
Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026: What's P-MARQ Exit poll predicting?
P-MARQ exit poll for Tamil Nadu also forecasts victory of DMK+, which the alliance is projected to win 125 to 145 seats, while the NDA is expected to secure 65 to 85 seats. TVK is likely to get 16 to 26 seats, and other parties may win between 1 and 6 seats.
- DMK+ - 125-145 seats
- NDA - 65-85 seats
- TVK - 16-26 seats
- Others - 1-6 seats
Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: Poll of Polls Prediction for Tamil Nadu
Poll of Polls (Tamil Nadu): The DMK-led alliance is expected to secure 112-129 seats, while the AIADMK bloc is estimated to win 86-103 seats. TVK is likely to secure 13-19 seats, and others 1-5 seats.
- DMK+- 112-129 seats
- AIADMK bloc - 86-103 seats
- TVK - 13-19 seats
- Others - 1-5 seats
Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: Jan Ki Baat Voter Connect predict lead for AIADMK
Exit poll findings by Jan Ki Baat Voter Connect signals a lead for AIADMK in Tamil Nadu, projecting it to bag 128-147 seats, while DMK+ is expected to secure 75-95 seats. Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam is likely to win 8-15 seats, with others unlikely to register a significant presence.
- DMK+- 75-95 seats
- AIADMK bloc - 128-147 seats
- TVK - 8-15 seats
Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: JVC's exit poll on Times Now - DMK leads, AIADMK close behind
Times Now-JVC Survey findings reveal that DMK+ is expected to secure 75-95 seats while AIADMK to win 65-80 seats, TVK to secure 8-15 seats.
- DMK+: 75-95
- AIADMK: 128-147
- TVK: 08-15
- Others: 00
Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026: Axis My India estimate 100+ seats for TVK
Axis My India's exit poll survey has projected DMK+ might secure 92-110 seats while AIADMK+ is expecetd to win 22-32 seats, and TVK is estimated to emerge strongly with 98-120 seats in Tamil Nadu.
- DMK+: 92-110 seats
- AIADMK: 22-32 seats
- TVK: 98-120 seats
Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026: Praja poll exit poll predictions
- DMK+ 148-168
- AIADMK+ 61-81
- TVK+ 1-9
- OTH 0-0
Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: Alliances drive Tamil Nadu contest
The Tamil Nadu elections is seen as a four-cornered contest between the DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance headed by M.K. Stalin, the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK)-led bloc under Edappadi K. Palaniswami, actor Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), which has emerged as a new political force, and the Naam Tamilar Katchi (NTK), turning the contest into a multi-cornered race across the state.
Tamil Nadu 2021 exit poll accuracy
In 2021, exit polls correctly anticipated that the DMK would unseat the incumbent AIADMK. While three surveys accurately predicted the DMK would win between 143 and 152 seats, several others significantly overestimated the party's victory, with India Today-Axis My India forecasting a landslide of 175 to 195 seats.
Tamil Nadu Elections 2026: Key Contenders
The Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK)-led alliance and the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) front serve as the primary rivals in the Tamil Nadu elections 2026, alongside other regional players.
The DMK is projected Udhayanidhi Stalin as the face of its next generation, and the party has introduced several new candidates, particularly in constituencies where they were defeated in 2021. Till date, the party has announced 164 candidates across 234 constituencies.
The DMK-led alliance includes DMDK, led by Premalatha Vijayakanth, which has been allotted 10 seats.
The AIADMK has fielded 172 candidates, while the TTV Dhinakaran-led AMMK contested from 11 seats. Additionally, the BJP has been allotted 33 seats, and the PMK remains split between opposing factions.
While the BJP and Makkal Needhi Maiam are working to challenge the DMK's stronghold in Chennai, the AIADMK's performance in the western region remains a critical factor.
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