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UAE economy under pressure: Layoffs surge as Gulf tensions hit jobs and remittances

UAE economy under pressure: Layoffs surge as Gulf tensions hit jobs and remittances

Dubai: The United Arab Emirates economy is beginning to show signs of strain as Gulf tensions persist, with early reports of layoffs, salary cuts, and unpaid leave across key sectors.

Industries such as hospitality, travel, events, and food & beverage are among the most affected, as businesses shift focus from growth to survival.

What is happening in the UAE economy

Companies in multiple sectors are adopting cost-cutting measures similar to those seen during the Covid-19 period. These include workforce reductions, temporary suspensions of pay, and unpaid leave arrangements. HR professionals indicate that while layoffs are currently limited in some areas, salary reductions and restructuring are becoming more common.

The hospitality, tourism, and events industries are experiencing the most significant impact, with declining customer activity and reduced bookings. Retail and food services are also witnessing a slowdown in consumer spending. Data from market sources suggests a notable drop in overall consumption activity, particularly in discretionary categories such as dining, travel, electronics, and apparel.

Layoffs and pay cuts reported

Several businesses have already taken steps such as job cuts and salary reductions to manage rising operational pressures. Reports indicate instances of companies reducing pay by significant margins in order to retain staff while maintaining financial stability. Some organisations are also offering unpaid leave or travel support for employees choosing to return to their home countries temporarily.

The UAE is a major source of remittances to India, contributing a significant share of total global inflows. A slowdown in employment and income levels among expatriates could directly affect the volume of money sent back to India. Lower remittances may have implications for household incomes and could influence India's external financial balance.

Business conditions and outlook

Businesses in the UAE are prioritising survival over expansion as uncertainty continues. Some sectors, particularly those dependent on tourism and new investments, are experiencing reduced demand. Real estate-related services and company formation businesses have also reported fewer new clients, adding to the overall economic pressure.

Analysts suggest that if the current conditions persist, the impact could spread further across industries in the coming months. Even after tensions ease, recovery may take time as consumer confidence, tourism flows, and investment activity gradually stabilise.

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