It's a Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) surge in Tamil Nadu, and there is only one pollster that got it absolutely right in the exit poll predictions - Pradeep Gupta's Axis My India.

While most pollsters had predicted a DMK return for the second term, it was Axis My India that went the opposite way, giving Vijay's party the unpopular edge over the two Dravidian parties - DMK and AIADMK - which have taken turns holding power in the state.

What did Axis My India predict?

In Tamil Nadu, Axis My India's exit poll projected that the TVK would get 98-120 seats in its debut election, indicating a blockbuster electoral win for debutant Vijay.

It predicted that the DMK-led alliance would secure 92-100 seats, while the five-party alliance led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would get 22-32 seats.

According to Axis My India, Vijay is ahead of Chief Minister MK Stalin in terms of choice for the next chief minister. While MK Stalin was supported by 35 per cent of those polled, Vijay got the support of 37 per cent.

Tamil Nadu has 234 assembly seats. The majority mark is 118.

What did the other exit polls predict for DMK and AIADMK?

Several other exit polls predicted that the alliance led by the ruling DMK will return to power in the state. People Pulse projected 125-145 seats for the DMK-led alliance and AIADMK-led alliance, which includes the BJP, getting 65-80 seats. It projected that Vijay's TVK would get two to six seats.

According to exit poll projections by Matrize, the DMK and allies will get 122-132 seats and the AIADMK and allies 80-100 seats. It said TVK would get 0-6 assembly seats.

The exit poll by P-MARQ projected 125-145 seats for the DMK-led alliance, 60-70 seats for the AIADMK-led alliance and one to six seats for TVK.